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The Surprising Paradox of Choice in 401k Plans

Written February 1st, 2012 by
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You may have heard about experimental studies that aim to capture the human experience when provided a large variety of options. Consumers today are often bombarded with a very high number of choices when they enter shopping malls, department stores, restaurants, mobile phone stores, etc. It is likely we have all experienced a certain level of paralysis when forced to choose a wine flavor from a menu containing 37 different wine choices. That overwhelming feeling we get when we are introduced to a vast array of choices can bring about discomfort and is ultimately unfavorable.

There seems to have been an accepted dogma among marketers in the past that a greater variety of choice leads to a better customer experience. When waiters place menus at the dinner table with 22 different entrees as opposed to 6, they might think they are doing you a favor by giving you the chance to choose the “perfect” option among several others. However, it’s becoming increasingly clear that perhaps, as humans, we may be better off with only 6 options as opposed to 22. When faced with 22 different options, we may experience a level of anxiety as we jockey between whether we’re in the mood for the filet mignon or the flank steak as opposed to whether or not we’re in the mood for a steak or instead some pasta -an easier choice, no doubt!

Although some may disagree with this notion that a greater number of choices is not beneficial to the consumer, it appears that on an aggregate level, a greater number of choices does reduce customer and user experience and in this case, participation. An interesting study conducted by Psycho-Economist Sheena Lyengar, along with her team of researchers from the Columbia Business School, suggests that greater consumer choices leads to less participation in retirement savings plans. In the study, Sheena and her team surveyed nearly 1 million Americans participating in 650 different retirement plans with regards to their decisions to save for retirement. What they found was a negative correlation between the participation rate among retirees and the amount of funds being offered. In other words, participation rates among consumers being offered 3 funds was in the mid 70’s percentile, while those plans offering nearly 60 funds saw participation rates drop the 60th percentile.

 

Sheena and her team found that as more choices are made available to the consumer (and perhaps you could relate to this) three things happen:

  1. Folks procrastinate even when it goes against their best self-interest
  2. They’re more likely to make worse choices (worse medical choices, financial choices, et cetera)
  3. They’re more likely to make choices that leave them less satisfied

It is important we recognize this as not a sign to give up and forgo saving when faced with an overwhelming amount of choices, but instead as a cue to seek professional help from those offering responsible advice. We live in an age where we are routinely subjected to a large number of options. It is important we recognize this as a possible threat to our well-being and make the appropriate steps to improve the outcome. The old adage that knowledge is power can yet again yield some value as your awareness to this situation should help with future decisions. Understanding that it’s natural to feel overwhelmed when choosing the optimal location for retirement funds should encourage you to take an offensive stance and make the appropriate steps to remedy your anxiety.

Click here to view Sheena’s presentation.

Getting a Tax Refund? Be Like the 50% of People Using it Wisely

Save MoneyTax day is only a few weeks away. If you are receiving a tax refund, you have some fun decisions to make. A recent study found that only 31% plan to put some of the refund toward their retirement savings, and another 19% plan to pay down debt…meaning only half of people are taking steps to improve their financial situation with their refund.

We know. You get a check in the mail or it shows up in your checking/savings account. Saving it or paying down debt is about as fun and exciting as…well…I don’t know, but it’s not. Unfortunately, doing the right thing sometimes isn’t that fun. However, it is a good feeling when you do the right thing.

What should you do?

  1. Pay Down Credit Card Debt – Have a balance on a credit card that has been lingering? Use your refund to pay it down or get rid of it. It’s funny how making smart financial decisions can really feel good once it’s done.
  2. Start or Increase Your Emergency Fund – Do you only have a few hundred/thousand in cash for emergencies? Then you should probably deposit it there if you have no credit card debt. By having money in an emergency fund, you can avoid putting those emergencies on a credit card, thus saving you costly interest. A common recommendation is a minimum of one month’s expenses in your emergency fund.
  3. Make a Contribution to a Roth IRA – If both 1 and 2 are in good shape, put that money toward your future. You can’t over save for your retirement, so dumping that refund into a Roth IRA makes for a smart decision. If you don’t have one in place already, some smart places to do so are Vanguard, Charles Schwab, T Rowe Price, Fidelity, Scottrade, etc. Some people don’t realize that the most important thing about a Roth IRA is what investment you use inside it. Here are some things to consider:
    1. Only Use No-Load Funds – Loads are sales charges paid to brokers. You can avoid these charges, which many of the entities listed above offer.
    2. Consider Your Age, Time Horizon and Risk Tolerance – This can be tricky, so if you aren’t sure, use a Age-Based or Risk-Based fund.

Read the Report at PlanSponsor.com

BeManaged January Newsletter – 2010 Review and Look Forward at 2011

news

The following are some topics covered in this month’s Research Newsletter from the BeManaged Research Department.

  1. Asset Price Inflation Wins in 2010
  2. 2010 Market Returns Positive Across the Board
  3. The State of Corporate Balance Sheets
  4. Government Debt and Deficits
    Download

Download the Newsletter

Are You an Investor or a Collector?

Investor v. CollectorOur friend Carl Richards of BehaviorGap.com and the NYTimes.com Bucks blog just wrote an article illustrating how the ‘over diversification’ of portfolios can simply be ‘buying more’ instead of ‘buying different.’ Take a look:

Over- or under-diversifying your investments remains one of the classic behavioral mistakes.

Over-diversification happens when we become collectors of investments instead of simply being investors. Think of the people who buy the mutual funds they read about in Smart Money magazine. Next year they buy the Top 10 Funds recommended by Money magazine. A year later they buy two or three new international funds because that’s what’s on the home page of Forbes.

Before they know it, they have a smorgasbord of unrelated investments, with no cohesive strategy at work. Then there are all of the taxes and transaction costs — and the impact on your life of having to keep track of it all.

For anyone with a portfolio that looks like this, consider a relatively simple suggestion: Each individual component of a portfolio should be there for a reason. Think of each investment that you own as a thread in a larger tapestry.

Being under-diversified is an equally troublesome problem. Under-diversification can take the form of owning only a single stock, or too much of one. For instance, maybe you work at Apple, and you’re convinced that Apple stock can only go up, so you put your life savings into Apple stock. We’ve seen why this choice can be a bad idea; ask anyone who had a lot of stock in A.I.G., Enron, Wachovia or Lehman Brothers.

Many people now know better than to put too much money into a single stock. But I still often meet people who own a number of mutual funds and believe they’re properly diversified. The reality is that fund overlap can leave you heavily invested in a relatively small number of individual stocks.

This happens because many mutual fund managers have similar ideas, or they create funds based on what’s popular at the time. If you look carefully at many of the largest mutual funds (the ones people are most likely to buy), they have significant overlap among the top 10 stock holdings.

Whether you’re under- or over-diversified, you are probably only doing what you thought you were supposed to do. You’ve spent a lot of energy, time and even money trying to pick the right investments. Unfortunately your efforts may have created the exact opposite of what you wanted to accomplish.

Remember, you’re not a collector. You’re an investor. You want stocks (or funds) that get you closer to the financial goals you’ve set for yourself. You also need to make sure that what you own doesn’t expose you to greater risk than you can handle, again based on your goals.

The end result should be a portfolio that reflects those goals, not the collection of magazines on your coffee table.

Read the Entire Article at NYTimes.com

BeManaged November Market Research Newsletter – What’s Another $600,000,000,000?

newsThe following are some topics covered in this month’s Research Newsletter from John Whaley, CFA, AIF, Director of the BeManaged Research Department.

  1. What’s Another $600,000,000,000 Among Friends?
  2. Good News for Dividend Collectors
  3. Consumers Continue to Lack Confidence

Download

Download the Newsletter

2011 IRS Contributions Limits for Your 401k/403b

Saving MoneyLast week, the IRS released the contribution limits for 401k/403b investors, and the amounts remain unchanged for 2011. Here are the numbers:

  • Elective Deferral (traditional limits) – $16,500
  • Catch-up Contribution for Investors 50 yrs and Older – $5,500

The reality is, your contributions to your 401k/403b is the #1 reason for your success as an investor. Here are some strategies for increasing your contributions:

  • Small Stretch Goal – If you are currently contributing just enough to receive the company match, increase your contribution 2%-3%. It’s a small but important impact, and shouldn’t create too much of a ‘paycheck shock.’
  • Auto-Increase – Many retirement plans now allow you to select a date every year in which your contribution to your 401k/403b will increase by 1%/2%/3%. An annual increase of only 1% can have a dramatic difference on your nest egg.
    • It’s a great idea to automate this, as it is easy for us to forget to increase our savings steadily, year by year. Additionally, this 1% increase avoids the aforementioned ‘paycheck shock’ of a large increase.

Read the IRS Update

BeManaged October Research Newsletter – Asset Class Correlations and Your Portfolio

newsThe following are some topics covered in this month’s Research Newsletter from John Whaley, CFA, AIF, Director of the BeManaged Research Department.

  1. Third Quarter Ends on Positive Note
  2. Pension Plans Continue Rosy Expectations
  3. Asset Class Correlations and Your Portfolio

Download Download the Newsletter

Market Forecasts, a.k.a. Market Guesses

Market ForecastsSoothsayer. Prognosticator. The illusory crystal ball. The market forecasts that are lauded by the media…whose goal is to sell advertising…are simply speculation. We have told investors since day one that no one truly knows what the market is going to do by the end of the week, month or year. If you meet someone that claims they do…run…in the oppositive direction. Fast.

As the article by our friend Carl Richards illustrates, given enough opportunities and guesses, even I can tell you on which number the roulette ball is going to land.

With very few exceptions, market and economic forecasts are really nothing more than guesses. But as we continue to reckon with an uncertain economic future, it is more tempting than ever to seek out a guru. We want someone to tell us what is coming so we can plan accordingly.

As you read these forecasts here are a few things to keep in mind:

1. No one knows what the future holds. History doesn’t really help except to tell us that it’s hard to forecast accurately.

2. If people make enough guesses, they are bound to get at least one right.

3. If you nail a big guess as a market forecaster, you can milk it for a long time. Think of all the people that have come out of the woodwork claiming to have forecast the collapse of 2008. Sure a few of them actually did get it right, but the dilemma for us is trying to figure out if they got it right based on skill or if they were just lucky.

4. Forecasters who got one big guess right might not be right the next time. In fact, the process they used to diagnose a problem in the past might increase the chance they will be wrong in the future. After all, the next big problem probably will not look like the one in the past that they managed to spot.

Just to be clear, I’m sure that there are thoughtful economists that provide useful insight. I just don’t know of anyone that can reliably tell me who they are. So little history, and so many guesses.

Next time you are tempted to make very important decisions based on the latest guess by the media’s current favorite guru, remember the old saying that even a broken clock is right twice a day.

Read the Article at NYTimes.com Bucks Blog

3 Ways to Spot a Bad Investor (Video)

CBS Marketwatch.com just released a short video to help identify whether you, your friend or your advisor is a bad investor. It’s brief, and definitely true. Here you go:

See It on CBS Marketwatch.com

5 Reasons NOT to Tap Into Your 401(k)

Suzanne LucasTimes are tough. People are over-extended. Sometimes desperation can lead us to consider our 401(k) as a savings account that could save the day. Our 401(k) should be the LAST option for cash. Here are five reasons reinforcing why this is a really bad idea, straight from CBS MoneyWatch’s “Evil HR Lady”, Suzanne Lucas:

  1. 401k loans are called when you leave your job. It doesn’t matter if you are fired, laid off, get sick and have to leave, have a baby and want to stay home with it, found a new dream job, or you want to join the Peace Corp.  When you are no longer employed by that company, your 401k loan is due shortly thereafter.  If you can’t pay up, you have to pay taxes and penalties on the loan amount.  And if you can pay up, what are you doing taking the loan in the first place?
  2. Your job is not secure. Yes, I know you think that your job is secure.  I’ve laid off thousands of people who once thought their jobs were secure too.  Your company could hit a rough patch, take a new direction, get bought out or just decide they don’t like you. Trust me on this one.  Your job is not secure.  And all the HR lady (even a nice one) can do is offer sympathy.  We can’t change the rules that make the 401k loan due upon termination.
  3. You can’t change jobs. With a 401k loan hanging over your head you are trapped in your current company.  If a headhunter calls up and your dream job appears, do you really want to be trapped by the $10,000 loan you took out?
  4. If you don’t have the money now, what makes you think you’ll have extra to repay the 401k later? Save up for what you want first, rather than making payments on what you’ve bought.  If you can’t save the money now, you won’t be able to make the payments either.  This will add stress to your life, and you don’t need this.
  5. It ruins your dollar cost averaging. Okay, that’s financial speak not normally uttered by HR people such as myself.  But, essentially, taking a little bit of money out now can cause big differences in the long run.  Joshua Kennon explains more aboutdollar cost averaging at About Investing for Beginners.

Read the Entire Article at CBS MoneyWatch