Asset Allocation

Survey Reveals 89% of 401k Investors Want Asset Allocation Help

Help ButtonA survey conducted by the Boston Consulting Group found that investors find retirement planning is confusing and 89% want help creating their ‘investment recipe’ (aka asset allocation). Here are the other findings of the 2,600 investors surveyed:

  • 84% want help “calculating and/or creating retirement income”
  • 79% would like an annual review “to set and measure their progress”
  • 48% feel they are “in consult of their retirement plan investments”

“Most Americans are busy with their jobs, their families and their personal pursuits, and say that they don’t have the time or interest to become experts in retirement planning,” said Lynne Ford, CEO of ING Individual Retirement. “The results from our study were clear: Americans want a roadmap to help them navigate to and through retirement.”

Ford added: “As a whole, consumers highly value choice, yet too much can be overwhelming. Consumers also value the control to make their own retirement-planning decisions but want detailed instructions on how to accomplish their financial objectives.”

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Survey Demonstrates Better Results for 401k Participants Using Advice

Survey

A recent study illustrated finds that 401k participants using advice are better diversified and have larger balances. Here are some interesting findings of the survey:

  • Improved Diversification – Participants held 74% more funds in their portfolio (8.67 versus 4.98 funds)
  • Improved Performance – 3 Year Annualized Return was 2.67% better than do-it-yourself investors
  • Larger Balances Seek Advice – Average balance of participants using advice was $107,558 versus $44,178 of do-it-yourself investors

These results are very similar to our experience with 401k investors. We find that participants using advice (or managed accounts) are better diversified and experience better downside protection due to improved risk management. Additionally, the larger the balance, the more likely the participant is to seek advice.

“The numbers tell us that participants with larger account balances are the ones who seek out advice, which helps them continue to move ahead,” said Kelli Send, Senior Vice President, in a press release. “However, the study results argue advice for all will improve diversification and performance.”

Read the Article at PlanSponsor.com

Are You an Investor or a Collector?

Investor v. CollectorOur friend Carl Richards of BehaviorGap.com and the NYTimes.com Bucks blog just wrote an article illustrating how the ‘over diversification’ of portfolios can simply be ‘buying more’ instead of ‘buying different.’ Take a look:

Over- or under-diversifying your investments remains one of the classic behavioral mistakes.

Over-diversification happens when we become collectors of investments instead of simply being investors. Think of the people who buy the mutual funds they read about in Smart Money magazine. Next year they buy the Top 10 Funds recommended by Money magazine. A year later they buy two or three new international funds because that’s what’s on the home page of Forbes.

Before they know it, they have a smorgasbord of unrelated investments, with no cohesive strategy at work. Then there are all of the taxes and transaction costs — and the impact on your life of having to keep track of it all.

For anyone with a portfolio that looks like this, consider a relatively simple suggestion: Each individual component of a portfolio should be there for a reason. Think of each investment that you own as a thread in a larger tapestry.

Being under-diversified is an equally troublesome problem. Under-diversification can take the form of owning only a single stock, or too much of one. For instance, maybe you work at Apple, and you’re convinced that Apple stock can only go up, so you put your life savings into Apple stock. We’ve seen why this choice can be a bad idea; ask anyone who had a lot of stock in A.I.G., Enron, Wachovia or Lehman Brothers.

Many people now know better than to put too much money into a single stock. But I still often meet people who own a number of mutual funds and believe they’re properly diversified. The reality is that fund overlap can leave you heavily invested in a relatively small number of individual stocks.

This happens because many mutual fund managers have similar ideas, or they create funds based on what’s popular at the time. If you look carefully at many of the largest mutual funds (the ones people are most likely to buy), they have significant overlap among the top 10 stock holdings.

Whether you’re under- or over-diversified, you are probably only doing what you thought you were supposed to do. You’ve spent a lot of energy, time and even money trying to pick the right investments. Unfortunately your efforts may have created the exact opposite of what you wanted to accomplish.

Remember, you’re not a collector. You’re an investor. You want stocks (or funds) that get you closer to the financial goals you’ve set for yourself. You also need to make sure that what you own doesn’t expose you to greater risk than you can handle, again based on your goals.

The end result should be a portfolio that reflects those goals, not the collection of magazines on your coffee table.

Read the Entire Article at NYTimes.com

BeManaged October Research Newsletter – Asset Class Correlations and Your Portfolio

newsThe following are some topics covered in this month’s Research Newsletter from John Whaley, CFA, AIF, Director of the BeManaged Research Department.

  1. Third Quarter Ends on Positive Note
  2. Pension Plans Continue Rosy Expectations
  3. Asset Class Correlations and Your Portfolio

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Annual Dalbar Study Shows Investors Are Still Behaving Badly

Dalbar Study on NapkinDalbar releases an annual study gauging the impact of investor behavior on investors’ long term portfolio returns. Our friend Carl Richards of BehaviorGap.com, writing for the NYTimes.com Bucks blog, illustrates the impact of investors’ decisions on their long term portfolio performance via the findings of this year’s study.

Every year the research firm Dalbar does a study that tries to quantify the impact of investor behavior on real-life returns by comparing investors’ earnings to the average investment (using the S&P 500 as a proxy).

The latest study looks at the 20-year period that ended Dec. 31, 2009:

Average investment return = 8.20 percent
Average equity investor return = 3.17 percent

If you had put money into an S&P 500 index fund 20 years ago and just left it there — no buying, no selling, just investing and forgetting about it — you would have earned (minus fees) about 8 percent.

But real people don’t invest that way. We trade. We watch CNBC and listen to Jim Cramer yell. Despite knowing better, we give into the genetic tendency to get more of those things that give us pleasure — buy high — and get rid of things that cause us pain — sell low. We’re just wired that way.

What is really interesting is how little this seems to change over the years. When it comes to investing, the tendency to behave badly is not going away.

So what do we do about it?

1. Admit it. Like any destructive behavior that first step to fixing it is to admit that there is a problem in the first place. Being honest with yourself and reviewing past decisions will help:

Did you get caught up in the tech bubble in 1999?
Real estate in 2006?
Did you sell in 2002, late 2007, or early 2008?

2. Develop a checklist. Then go through that checklist before you make major investment decisions. It works for pilots and doctors. It will help you avoid mistakes in investment behavior, too.

Try writing down the proposed change and then let it sit for 24 hours, or call a trusted friend or adviser and walk them through your thinking before you make the change. Often just hearing yourself explain why you want to make the change will convince you to forget the whole thing.

3. Don’t play. Sometimes the answer might be to take our money and go home. There is nothing that says you have to invest in the stock market to be considered an intelligent human being. It is fine to recognize that it might work better to follow Will Rogers’s advice and focus on the return of your money instead of the return on your money.

The reality is investing successfully is hard. But hopefully by focusing on our behavior, we can close this gap in the next 20 years.

Read Article at the NYTimes.com Bucks Blog

401(k) Investing, Diversification and Asset Allocation – In Plain English

The BeManaged Ingredients and Recipe Investment Analogy

Pizza and IngredientsOver the past number of years I have come to really enjoy cooking. It unknowingly led me to an analogy for investing that is simple to understand and better yet, visual. The analogy, consisting of ingredients and the underlying recipe, has helped hundreds of investors better understand what they can ‘control’ within their 401(k). Furthermore it helps investors understand confusing terms such as “diversification” and “asset allocation” and how they impact the ‘behavior’ of their portfolio.

Step #1 – The Stylebox

The image to the right represents the entire US stock market compartmentalized into nine boxes. The idea is you do not want to compare funds in one box to funds in the other box, as they are each investing in distinctively different types of stocks. The market says diversify, diversify, diversify — but people get confused with what that really means. The visual aspect makes it easier to identify any gaps in your portfolio, would be issues with your portfolio’s diversification. (NOTE: This is ONLY illustrating the US Stock market, so also included is international stocks, bonds and cash. For simplicity sake, we are going to stay focused on the US stock portion of an investor’s portfolio.)

Stylebox - US

Step #2: Diversification / Ingredients

If you look at each of these boxes and the funds inside them as ingredients, diversification is simply making sure you have enough ingredients to complete a recipe. As you can see, funds rarely fit neatly inside their respective ‘box.’ In fact, the vast majority do not. Additionally, even though these are listed as US stock funds, a significant portions of these ingredients can include international stocks, bonds and cash. And finally, just as the Papa John’s commercial says — better ingredients, better portfolio.

Stylebox Diversification Stylebox - Diversified Portfolio
Actual Portfolio         Diversified Portfolio

Step #3: Asset Allocation – The Recipe

Now let’s say we have all of the ingredients we need to cook a pizza crust. Depending on the recipe we use and process used to cook it, the ingredients could result in a pizza crust or — a saltine cracker. We could use the same ingredients, but have two entirely different outcomes.

Investing is no different. In fact, studies have shown over 91% (Brinson, Singer, Beebower, 1991) of the reason for your portfolio’s performance is specific to the recipe used.

Asset Allocation

Therefore, there are reasons your portfolio has behaved the way it has over the past few years. It has to do with the specific ingredients (investment funds) used and the percentage put in each fund. Based on the investor profile you completed, we simply need to create a recipe that fits that specific level of risk. Does that make sense? (I know it doesn’t add up to 100%, the remaining portion is in bonds and international stocks)

Stylebox - Recipe Stylebox - Proper Recipe
Actual Recipe                   Proper Recipe

Decision: Do-It-Yourself, Get the Recipe (Advice), or Have it Cooked For You (Account Management)?

Just because I walk into a fully stocked kitchen with every tool and ingredient I could want, it does NOT make me Bobby Flay. Therefore, having a professional either provide you the recipe (401(k) advice) or simply cook it up for you (401(k) account management) can be better options than trying to do it yourself.

Bobby Flay

Copyright © 2010 BeManaged. All rights reserved.

A Conversation on 401(k) Advice vs. Guidance – PPA Fiduciary Adviser v. The DoL 96-1 Opinion

Advice as an industry is a very young one. The ‘SunAmerica Opinion‘ was issued in December of ’01. The PPA Fiduciary Adviser provisions were written in August of ’06, and the DoL is still working to iron out the final architecture. That being said, since the 401(k) is only a little over 30 years old, advice is its first son, and it is just now starting to mature. Wow, that’s quite an analogy, but I am going to run with it for now…

When marketing our services to companies sponsoring 401(k) plans, we will often face confusion as to what is truly being offered to participants — guidance or advice. The reason being that the word advice has been used liberally by brokers, advisors, and service providers. Unfortunately, that will sometimes lead to companies assuming their participants are receiving the advice they need, rather than knowing what is actually taking place in those education meetings and any 1on1 interactions that follow. Since guidance versus advice has been easily confused, the following is a mock conversation designed to clarify what is and isn’t, should and shouldn’t, be taking place with participants so to protect the plan sponsor from fiduciary liability:

Plan Sponsor (PS): “Our participants are already getting advice.”

BeManaged: “Have you ever sat through one of those sessions?”

PS: “Well, no, but that is what our broker/advisor tells us he/she/they are doing when they are on-site during our committee reviews.”

BeManaged: “I noticed on your company’s 5500 that your plan was with XYZ company, so that likely means your plan advisor is being paid by the investments in the plan. Is that still the case?”

PS: “Yes, I believe so.”

BeManaged: “Please forgive me if I am overstepping my bounds, but if your plan’s advisor is being paid by the investments, there are only a few ways in which they can provide advice without holding the company liable for the advice they deliver. One is through the Pension Protection Act’s Fiduciary Adviser provision. The other is through a highly complicated fee offset arrangement that is extremely rare in our experience. If they are operating as a PPA Fiduciary Adviser, they would have a specific fiduciary agreement in place with the committee. Are you aware of one?

PS: “Um, no. What do you mean we could be held liable for the advice he/she/they are delivering?”

BeManaged: “I do not want to alarm you. I would guess that the term ‘advice’ has been used far too loosely. In 1996, the DoL issued an opinion which clarified that general investment education and guidance protected brokers/advisors from acting as a fiduciary, yet we have found many to overstate this guidance as being advice, when in fact it is not. Guidance simply provides a general overview without speaking to specific funds and the percentage that participant should allocate to each one.”

PS: “Isn’t that good enough?”

BeManaged: “That depends on the investment savvy of the individual. Unfortunately, numerous studies have shown that selecting funds, measuring risk, and managing behavior during volatile markets is not the forte of the vast majority of investors. There are entire websites dedicated to sharing these issues such as behaviorgap.com. Even target date funds, looked at as a simple solution to this problem, are not being used correctly based on studies by Vanguard, one of the largest players in that market. Having ongoing advice specific to the participant’s individual situation has become a welcome reprieve to frustrated participants in plans with demographics similar to yours.”

PS: “From what our advisor/broker tells us, there is poor attendance in the advice sessions…or guidance sessions…whatever it is, that they provide.”

BeManaged: “I could guess that if the guidance is provided under the DoL 96-1 opinion I mentioned, it is understandable. Imagine if you walked into a mechanic and explained what the issue was with your vehicle, and regardless of how simple or complicated, they provided you with a number of different approaches on how you can fix it. It was then up to you to decide how to do it yourself. You would never go back to that mechanic again, right? Fortunately, you and I can choose to go to a different mechanic. Unfortunately, unless that individual has enough assets to qualify working with a fiduciary wealth manager, which typically means having assets of $250k at minimum, then they have no one that will provide them with specific, fiduciary advice that has ‘skin in the game’ as does a fiduciary.”

PS: “Ok, so if I sat down with our advisor/broker, and he/she/they provided me specific advice, they are putting the committee members in harms way, and if they are providing general guidance, our participants are not getting what they really need. Am I understanding this correctly?”

BeManaged: “Yes, you are correct. You as a fiduciary are not required to provide advice, but it is simply an understanding of what your participants need. However, if you are not able to abide by Section 404(c) of ERISA, you can be held responsible for the investment decisions of your participants. Therefore, providing yourself and the other committee members protection from ‘advice that goes bad’ is important, and can be done in a simple manner through the PPA Fiduciary Adviser fiduciary safe harbor. And to be clear, if your plan advisor/broker is working under 96-1, you are under no additional liability either. It is simply a ‘line in the sand’ by which the broker can provide guidance without being held out as a fiduciary (see the following reference from the DoL).

The Department notes that the information and materials described in subparagraphs (1)-(4) above merely represent examples of the type of information and materials which may be furnished to participants and beneficiaries without such information and materials constituting ``investment advice.'' In this regard, the Department recognizes that there may be many other examples of information, materials, and educational services which, if furnished to participants and beneficiaries, would not constitute ``investment advice.'' Accordingly, no inferences should be drawn from subparagraphs (1)-(4), above, with respect to whether the furnishing of any information, materials or educational services not described therein may constitute ``investment advice.'' Determinations as to whether the provision of any information, materials or educational services not described herein constitutes the rendering of ``investment advice'' must be made by reference to the criteria set forth in 29 CFR 2510. 3-21(c)(1). READ MORE
PS: "Ok, so if I go through the interaction, how will I know if I am receiving guidance or advice?

BeManaged: “The simplest thing to understand is if the advisor tells you specifically which funds to use and what percentage to put into each, then you are receiving advice. There should be some sort of process used to quantify what kind of investor you are, such as an investor questionnaire which looks at your age, time horizon for retirement and tolerance for risk. If you instead receive general plan and investment information, a general asset allocation model or are given an investment worksheet/website to provide you such a model, your broker is operating under the DoL 96-1 opinion. It would be wise for them to do so as it is quite complicated for them to perform a fee offset to avoid the inherent potential conflicts of interest of providing advice while being paid by the underlying investments in the plan. The DoL’s 96-1 Opinion clarified what was guidance and what is advice, as at that time, fee-only advisors were extremely rare, and investment advice automatically makes an individual a fiduciary, which most broker dealers do not allow. For plan advisors/brokers that are paid by the investments in the plan, 96-1 allowed them to clearly understand where the fiduciary line in the sand is. For the time being, 96-1 does not put you in harm, it just might not be what your participants need.”

PS: “Or our committee members for that matter, if we can be held responsible for participant investment decisions. I am pretty sure we have identified ourself as a 404(c) plan, but remember the requirements being quite onerous.”

BeManaged: “The next step is simple: go through a consultation with your plan advisor on your individual account. What you receive during the interaction will tell you what is happening in your plan, advice or guidance.”

PS: “Easy enough, and they will be here early next week, so this is timely.”

BeManaged: “I would like to schedule a brief call with you following the consultation with your permission.”

PS: “Sure, call me next Wednesday at 10am.”

BeManaged August ’10 Research Newsletter : Capital Disappearing in Private Sector

newsThe following are some highlights discussed in the August ‘10 Research Newsletter from John Whaley, CFA, AIF, Director of the BeManaged Research Department.

  1. Equities Gain Over 7% in July
  2. The EBRI Retirement Readiness Rating
  3. Capital is Disappearing in the Private Sector

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Ignore Generic 401(k) Guidance Posed as Advice

Generic Guidance v AdviceOur friend Carl Richards wrote yesterday on this subject at the NYTime.com Bucks blog, and it is very good advice. We have seen people follow guidance from the likes of the Jim Cramers, Suze Ormans and Dave Ramsey (though we are big fans of his debt reduction advice), which more often than not steers people into an inappropriate portfolio. Many 401(k) providers will even provide some general guidance as well, but they leave investors to figure out the ideal recipe (asset allocation) to create from their plan’s ingredients (investment options). Understanding some basics such as age and your prospective time horizon for retirement are easy, but understanding your risk tolerance can be tricky. Additionally, here is an easy way to distinguish general guidance from specific, personal advice:

Advice will tell you specifically which funds in your 401(k) plan you should be invested in as well as what percentage. Guidance only speaks to the types of investment options.

The following are some key excerpts from the Bucks blog post by Carl Richards:

It is dangerous to mix investing with entertainment. The classic example is thinking that Jim Cramer is your investment adviser rather than some sort of circus clown.

But what can be even more dangerous is taking what’s meant to be general financial information and acting on it, without first taking the time to figure out if it applies to your particular situation.

Making important decisions about how to invest your life savings seems to be getting more and more complex as the amount of information continues to grow.

Take this article, “A Market Forecast That Says ‘Take Cover,’” that appeared in the The New York Times this weekend. It offers up advice from a market watcher who suggests that individual investors “move completely out of the market and hold cash and cash equivalents, like Treasury bills, for years to come.”

The article has been among the most e-mailed articles for several days, so it’s clearly getting a lot of attention. But the question is what you’re supposed to do with information (general advice) like this. Should you follow this advice to “take cover,” regardless of your age, unique goals and family situation?

The financial press, personal finance bloggers and best-selling authors are all sources of information. But don’t confuse information with the real work of figuring out how it applies to your very unique situation. I know many of the best personal finance bloggers. As good as many of them are at providing a filter for information, and even providing general rules of thumb, you are the only one who can figure out how it applies to your life.

The reason is simple: planning for your financial future is personal. It has to be. A good plan will be unique to your situation, and what is right for your situation may be a disaster for your neighbor. So read as much as you want, but then make sure you spend the time to figure out how it applies to you before you make important decisions about your life savings.

Read the Article at the NYTimes.com Bucks Blog

BeManaged July ’10 Market Outlook Newsletter – Second Quarter Ends with a Thud

newsThe following are some highlights discussed in the July ‘10 Research Newsletter from John Whaley, CFA, AIF, Director of the BeManaged Research Department.

  1. Second Quarter Ends with a Thud
  2. Another Review of Long-Term Market Value
  3. A Picture of Risk

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